Chủ đề: forecast

Though inflationary pressure will be great from the beginning of 2022, with the Lunar New Year (Tet) holiday on the horizon and large-scale economic stimulus packages in place, there remains plenty of space to keep Vietnam’s CPI at below 4 per cent, economists believe. International organizations have forecast CPI of 3.5-4 per cent for the year.

Experts have predicted that cash flows won’t go into every stock in Vietnam during the second half of 2021, adding that only stocks that are able to maintain growth in the context of the pandemic and when the economy recovers will benefit. Other experts are concerned that stock prices are too high. But “high” or “low” remains subjective and depends on profit growth expectations. There are many investors who buy or sell based simply on emotions.

In a report forecasting Vietnam’s economic development, HSBC has lowered its growth projection from 6.6 per cent to 6.1 per cent due to the ongoing Covid-19 outbreak. It also predicted that the Vietnam dong (VND) exchange rate will fluctuate widely in the second half of this year.